A leaked intelligence assessment is reportedly creating major turmoil inside Washington after revealing that Iran may be far stronger and more resilient than Donald Trump has publicly claimed throughout the escalating Middle East conflict.

According to reports about the classified memo, the Central Intelligence Agency concluded that Iran retains much of its missile capability and could withstand U.S. economic pressure for months longer than the White House has suggested.

The revelations directly contradict repeated public statements from Donald Trump, who has insisted Iran’s military infrastructure has been devastated by U.S. and allied operations.

The leaked assessment reportedly paints a dramatically different picture.

According to officials familiar with the intelligence review, Iran still maintains roughly 70 to 75 percent of its prewar missile stockpiles and mobile launcher systems despite weeks of bombardment and military pressure.

That figure sharply conflicts with Trump’s own claims.

Just this week, Trump publicly told reporters that Iran’s missile capabilities had been “mostly decimated,” suggesting the country retained only around 18 or 19 percent of its original inventory.

The discrepancy immediately triggered intense concern among national security observers and political analysts.

Critics argue the leak raises serious questions about whether the White House has been presenting an overly optimistic narrative about the war’s progress and Iran’s weakening position.

The intelligence assessment reportedly goes even further.

According to accounts of the memo, U.S. intelligence agencies found evidence that Iran has successfully reopened many underground military storage facilities, repaired damaged missile systems, and even resumed assembling missiles that were nearly completed before the conflict intensified.

Officials familiar with the findings reportedly warned that Tehran remains capable of sustaining significant military resistance despite ongoing sanctions and blockade efforts.

The economic findings were equally alarming.

The CIA reportedly concluded Iran could endure the current U.S.-led naval blockade for at least three to four months before facing severe economic breakdown — much longer than administration officials have publicly implied.

Some officials reportedly suggested the estimate may even underestimate Iran’s ability to survive prolonged pressure.

One source familiar with the assessment reportedly warned that Iranian leadership has become increasingly hardened and convinced it can outlast American political resolve.

“The leadership has gotten more radical, determined and increasingly confident they can outlast U.S. political will,” one official reportedly stated.

The leak arrives at an especially difficult moment for the White House.

Trump’s Iran strategy has already faced mounting criticism over rising fuel prices, fears of broader regional conflict, and confusion surrounding sudden military reversals like the administration’s controversial “Project Freedom” operation in the Strait of Hormuz.

Critics say the new intelligence revelations further undermine the administration’s messaging.

For weeks, Trump and top officials have repeatedly projected confidence that Iran was rapidly losing its military and economic capacity to continue resisting.

Now, the intelligence community appears to be offering a far more sobering internal assessment.

Political analysts say the contradiction could become politically dangerous if the conflict drags on while Americans continue facing higher gas prices and growing economic anxiety.

The situation also revives longstanding tensions between Trump and parts of the intelligence community.

Throughout both of his presidencies, Trump has frequently clashed with intelligence officials, often dismissing assessments that contradicted his public narratives on issues ranging from Russia to national security threats.

This latest leak may deepen those tensions dramatically.

Supporters of the administration argue intelligence estimates are often fluid during wartime and caution against drawing sweeping conclusions from partially leaked information.

Critics, however, say the discrepancy between Trump’s public claims and the CIA’s reported findings is too large to ignore.

If Iran truly retains most of its missile capacity and significant economic endurance, critics warn the administration may have badly underestimated the scale and duration of the conflict.

That possibility carries enormous geopolitical consequences.

The Strait of Hormuz remains one of the world’s most strategically critical oil corridors, and continued instability threatens global energy markets, international shipping, and broader regional security.

Meanwhile, inside Washington, the leak itself is already becoming a political firestorm.

Questions are mounting over whether the administration knowingly minimized Iran’s strength to project confidence — or whether Trump himself was receiving overly optimistic internal briefings.

Either way, the leaked memo appears to have shattered the White House narrative that Iran is nearing collapse.

And if the intelligence assessment proves accurate, the administration may now face a far more dangerous reality than it has publicly acknowledged.